Kentucky vs Mississippi State 10/30/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Kentucky winning 43% of simulations, and Mississippi State 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Kentucky commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi State wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Raymond Sanders is averaging 53 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Vick Ballard is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST -7

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